NGL Energy Valuation

NGL Stock  USD 11.75  0.07  0.60%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. NGL Energy Partners secures a last-minute Real Value of $8.63 per share. The latest price of the firm is $11.75. Our model forecasts the value of NGL Energy Partners from inspecting the firm fundamentals such as return on equity of 0.15, and Profit Margin of 0.04 % as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. Key fundamental drivers impacting NGL Energy's valuation include:
Price Book
2.4542
Enterprise Value
4.5 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.1055
Price Sales
0.4553
Forward PE
47.619
Overvalued
Today
11.75
Please note that NGL Energy's price fluctuation is slightly risky at this time. Calculation of the real value of NGL Energy Partners is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing NGL Energy's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the NGL stock is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of NGL Energy Partners. Since NGL Energy is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of NGL Stock. However, NGL Energy's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.75 Real  8.63 Target  5.0 Hype  11.27 Naive  13.03
The intrinsic value of NGL Energy's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow or dividend analysis. That value may differ from its market price, which is determined by factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, headlines, and other external factors that may influence NGL Energy's stock price.
8.63
Real Value
13.16
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of NGL Energy Partners helps investors to forecast how NGL stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of NGL Energy more accurately as focusing exclusively on NGL Energy's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates
LowProjectedHigh
0.110.110.11
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6.7411.2715.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.5013.0317.56
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
4.555.005.55
Details
Traditionally, analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use NGL Energy's intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of NGL Energy's financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against NGL Energy's closest peers.

NGL Energy Cash

4.83 Million

NGL Revenue by Product

NGL Energy Total Value Analysis

NGL Energy Partners is now forecasted to have company total value of 4.47 B with market capitalization of 1.48 B, debt of 3.08 B, and cash on hands of 5.65 M. Please note that company total value may be misleading and is a subject to accounting gimmicks. We encourage investors to carefully check all of the NGL Energy fundamentals before making security assessment based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
4.47 B
1.48 B
3.08 B
5.65 M

NGL Energy Investor Information

About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.4. NGL Energy Partners last dividend was issued on the 5th of November 2020. Based on the key measurements obtained from NGL Energy's financial statements, NGL Energy Partners is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great risk to report excellent financial results in March.

NGL Energy Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. NGL Energy has an asset utilization ratio of 75.26 percent. This suggests that the Company is making $0.75 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that NGL Energy Partners is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

NGL Energy Profitability Analysis

Based on the key profitability measurements obtained from NGL Energy's financial statements, NGL Energy Partners is performing exceptionally good at this time. It has a great risk to showcase excellent profitability results in March. Profitability indicators assess NGL Energy's ability to earn profits and add value for shareholders.
 
Net Income  
First Reported
2009-03-31
Previous Quarter
68.9 M
Current Value
29.3 M
Quarterly Volatility
98.5 M
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
At this time, NGL Energy's Pretax Profit Margin is quite stable compared to the past year. Operating Profit Margin is expected to rise to 0.09 this year, although the value of Gross Profit will most likely fall to about 494.1 M.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Gross Profit Margin0.190.18
Notably Up
Slightly volatile
For NGL Energy profitability analysis, we use financial ratios and fundamental drivers that measure the ability of NGL Energy Partners to generate income relative to revenue, assets, operating costs, and current equity. These fundamental indicators attest to how well NGL Energy utilizes its assets to generate profit and value for its shareholders. The profitability module also shows relationships between NGL Energy's most relevant fundamental drivers. It provides multiple suggestions of what could affect the performance of NGL Energy over time as well as its relative position and ranking within its peers.

NGL Energy Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual

The next projected EPS of NGL Energy is estimated to be 0.1075 with future projections ranging from a low of 0.1075 to a high of 0.1075. NGL Energy's most recent 12-month trailing earnings per share (EPS TTM) is at -0.4. Please be aware that the consensus of earnings estimates for NGL Energy Partners is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
NGL Energy is projected to generate 0.1075 in earnings per share on the 31st of March 2026. NGL Energy earnings estimates show analyst consensus about projected NGL Energy EPS (Earning Per Share). It derives the highest and the lowest estimates based on NGL Energy's historical volatility. Many public companies, such as NGL Energy, manage the perception of their earnings on a regular basis to make sure that analyst estimates are accurate. Future earnings calculations are also an essential input when attempting to value a firm.

NGL Energy Earnings Estimation Breakdown

The calculation of NGL Energy's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of NGL Energy is estimated to be 0.1075 with the future projection ranging from a low of 0.1075 to a high of 0.1075. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for NGL Energy Partners is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.
Last Reported EPS
0.0
0.11
Lowest
Expected EPS
0.1075
0.11
Highest

NGL Energy Earnings Projection Consensus

Suppose the current estimates of NGL Energy's value are higher than the current market price of the NGL Energy stock. In this case, investors may conclude that NGL Energy is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and NGL Energy's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of AnalystsHistorical AccuracyLast Reported EPSEstimated EPS for 31st of March 2026Current EPS (TTM)
11.42%
0.0
0.1075
-0.4

NGL Energy Ownership Allocation

NGL Energy Partners maintains a total of 124.27 Million outstanding shares. Over half of NGL Energy's outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. These institutional investors are typically referred to as corporate investors that shop for positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that on , Representative Mark Green of US Congress acquired $15k to $50k worth of NGL Energy Partners's common stock.

NGL Energy Profitability Analysis

The company reported the last year's revenue of 3.47 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 43.16 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1 B.

About NGL Energy Valuation

We use absolute and relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of NGL Energy Partners. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of NGL Energy Partners based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing NGL Energy's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and their related drivers, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of NGL Energy's intrinsic value. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of NGL Energy. We calculate exposure to NGL Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of NGL Energy's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross Profit813.5 M494.1 M
Pretax Profit Margin 0.02  0.02 
Operating Profit Margin 0.09  0.09 
Net Profit Margin 0.01  0.01 
Gross Profit Margin 0.18  0.19 

NGL Energy Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as NGL Energy does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding132 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.601
Forward Price Earnings47.619

NGL Energy Current Valuation Indicators

NGL Energy's valuation analysis is a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final NGL Energy's valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as NGL Energy, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use NGL Energy's valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes NGL Energy's worth.
When determining whether NGL Energy Partners is a strong investment it is important to analyze NGL Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact NGL Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding NGL Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in NGL Energy Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NGL Energy. Anticipated expansion of NGL directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive NGL Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.60)
Earnings Share
(0.40)
Revenue Per Share
24.856
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
Return On Assets
0.0529
Investors evaluate NGL Energy Partners using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating NGL Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause NGL Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between NGL Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding NGL Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, NGL Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.